Further anecdotal information on two declined career sectors:

1) The other week at the one (Thai) restaurant where I work now, I saw two semi-regular customers who are college writing instructors who I hadn't seen for a while.

And, I asked them how everything was going, especially with ChatGPT.

And, they said it's horrible, and one said they're now "ChatGPT police," even though that's not their job and they're not trained for it and they don't want to spend so much time doing it.

"Like what percentage of a class uses ChatGPT anyhow, would you say?", I was like.

"Anywhere from forty to seventy percent," said the one.

(And this is supposedly a top-flight university!)

He also observed that the writing that he can detect isn't very good, so perhaps smarter students are using it in savvier ways that he can't see, and anyways what you can see for pat essays is like C+ or at most a B- level, which is what you'd get for just trying to do the assignment anyways.

He also also said that it's the weaker students who use it, and studies have said as much, that people who self-perceive as weak writers tend to rely on the tool more, and that one time when he told a class that using that tool would get them a C+ essay, one student raised her hand and said something interesting, that she's a C- writer, so why wouldn't she use it to try to get a C+ essay.

The university is also giving them zero guidance on how to handle this or address it, he said. 

2)  The other week, I caught up with some college friends who live in a mid-to-big U.S. city in another state, and they said that eldercare had radically declined in the wealthier suburban community that they've been living in for the past few years.

Like, there was one "good place" in the community that had a great reputation, and it also had a rehab wing, and someone they know's father was in there after surgery and he was supposed to be in there for one full week, but it was really bad, like he'd call and call on his call-light from bed and no-one would come, and so after three days the family was like, "We have to get him out of there, we'll figure out how to do this at home, but we have to get him out of there," and they yanked him out and figured out a way to take care of him at home for the next few days, and, everyone who has heard about this is just shocked and is like, "That happened there?!", because they just don't expect that at the "good place" in a wealthier town.

And, I explained to them what I had seen and how rapid wage-growth from the bottom had destroyed the wage premium and destabilized the frontline jobs that make those kind of institutions run, and they said it makes sense, and would jibe with what they heard.